1.      Reading the Weather 

How long you have stayed at and enjoyed a place does not always mean that you can continue to remain there and be safe.  ‘Safe hitherto’ in any place may not mean ‘safe forever’ there.  Read the weather.  Ask Lot (Genesis 19:15).  Every future bliss is not guaranteed by every pleasant past.  That is one implication of Jeremiah’s prophecy when he said, about Babylon,  

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